Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.234244 0.265949 0.299868 0.338796 0.382180 0.428985 0.483241
2025-10-12 0.195250 0.238410 0.287560 0.347467 0.418292 0.499127 0.598129
2025-10-19 0.164891 0.214515 0.274165 0.350699 0.445792 0.559523 0.705255
2025-10-26 0.143558 0.197627 0.265807 0.357307 0.475996 0.623755 0.820489
2025-11-02 0.128563 0.186235 0.262140 0.368149 0.510951 0.695035 0.948369
2025-11-09 0.112148 0.170517 0.250512 0.366479 0.528268 0.743622 1.049074
2025-11-16 0.098847 0.157263 0.240398 0.365139 0.544842 0.791111 1.150058
2025-11-23 0.087693 0.145636 0.231076 0.363467 0.559946 0.836522 1.249816
2025-11-30 0.080645 0.139287 0.228593 0.371050 0.588178 0.901202 1.379399
2025-12-07 0.072868 0.130821 0.221913 0.371393 0.605182 0.950062 1.488180
2025-12-14 0.066082 0.123145 0.215603 0.371472 0.621284 0.997862 1.597192
2025-12-21 0.060281 0.116441 0.210125 0.372170 0.637960 1.046874 1.709868
2025-12-28 0.055697 0.111565 0.207531 0.377846 0.663703 1.112447 1.853449
2026-01-04 0.052327 0.108495 0.207688 0.388036 0.697317 1.192028 2.022901
2026-01-11 0.048297 0.103723 0.204396 0.391950 0.720606 1.256246 2.171147
2026-01-18 0.045195 0.100363 0.203272 0.399441 0.750212 1.331964 2.341301
2026-01-25 0.042994 0.098525 0.204720 0.411524 0.788299 1.423317 2.541025
2026-02-01 0.039254 0.093097 0.198894 0.409738 0.801695 1.473802 2.675105
2026-02-08 0.035941 0.088163 0.193530 0.408290 0.815386 1.525154 2.812617
2026-02-15 0.032920 0.083494 0.188231 0.406458 0.828066 1.575092 2.949604
2026-02-22 0.031207 0.081538 0.188215 0.414847 0.860069 1.660164 3.150763
2026-03-01 0.028881 0.077893 0.184357 0.415232 0.876828 1.718723 3.307731
2026-03-08 0.026739 0.074418 0.180529 0.415322 0.892885 1.776549 3.465578